{"id":7729,"date":"2022-06-09T22:03:16","date_gmt":"2022-06-10T02:03:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.yibababa.com\/?p=7729"},"modified":"2022-06-09T22:03:16","modified_gmt":"2022-06-10T02:03:16","slug":"%e8%af%ba%e5%a5%96%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%ad%a6%e5%ae%b6%ef%bc%9a%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%be%88%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e9%99%b7%e5%85%a5%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e8%a1%b0%e9%80%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/archives\/7729","title":{"rendered":"\u8bfa\u5956\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u9677\u5165\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/06\/robert-shiller-20.jpg?quality=75&amp;strip=all&amp;w=744\" alt=\"Robert Shiller\" width=\"744\" height=\"495\" \/><\/p>\n<p>2013\u5e74\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u5e2d\u52d2\uff08Robert J. Shiller\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u968f\u8457\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u65e5\u76ca\u62c5\u5fc3\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u201c\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u201d\u9677\u5165\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u201c\u81ea\u6211\u5b9e\u73b0\u9884\u8a00\u201d\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002 \u8fd9\u4f4d\u8036\u9c81\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6050\u60e7\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u4e8b\u60c5\u6210\u771f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u901a\u81a8\u52a0\u901f\u4ee5\u53ca\u8054\u51c6\u4f1a\uff08Fed\uff09\u52a0\u5927\u63a7\u5236\u901a\u81a8\u529b\u9053\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u8fd1\u6765\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u840e\u7f29\u7684\u5fe7\u8651\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u6df1\u3002\u591a\u4f4d\u4f01\u4e1a\u5927\u8001\u7eb7\u7eb7\u63d0\u51fa\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u80a1\u4ef7\u4e5f\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6709\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u5ead\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u671d\u7740\u9519\u8bef\u65b9\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u57cb\u4e0b\u4f0f\u7b14\u3002<\/p>\n<p>5\u6708\u4efd\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u8dcc\u81f3\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u800c\u672c\u5468\u4e94\uff086\u670810\u65e5\uff09\u5c06\u516c\u5e036\u6708\u7684\u521d\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e2d\u52d2\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u7684\u673a\u7387\u4e3a50%\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u51c6\u3002\u4ed6\u63a5\u53d7\u7535\u8bdd\u8bbf\u95ee\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u53d9\u4e8b\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u5305\u62ecFed\u5347\u606f\u5e76\u5236\u5b9a\u91c7\u53d6\u66f4\u591a\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5404\u754c\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671fFed\u4e3b\u5e2dJerome Powell\u53ca\u5176\u540c\u4e8b\u5c06\u5728\u4e0b\u5468\u5f00\u4f1a\u65f6\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad80.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u5c06\u66f4\u65b0\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e2d\u52d2\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u9ad8\u7684\u524d\u666f\u8d77\u521d\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u623f\u5c4b\u62a2\u8d2d\u70ed\u6f6e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e70\u5bb6\u60f3\u5728\u623f\u8d37\u5229\u7387\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\u524d\u9501\u5b9a\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u5229\u7387\u3002 \u4f46\u968f\u7740\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5524\u8d77\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e0a\u6b21\u623f\u5e02\u66b4\u8dcc\u7684\u7684\u56de\u5fc6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e2d\u52d2\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u73b0\u5728\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u5c48\u670d\u4e8e\u81ea\u6211\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u666f\u6c14\u4f4e\u8ff7\u9884\u8a00\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u96c6\u4f53\u906d\u53d7\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u201c\u521b\u4f24\u540e\u538b\u529b\u75c7\u5019\u7fa4\uff08PTSD\uff09\u201d\u3002\u8d85\u8fc7100\u4e07\u540d\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u4e2d\u4e27\u547d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/nypost.com\/2022\/06\/09\/famed-economist-robert-shiller-sees-good-chance-of-recession\/\" target=\"_blank\">nypost.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2013\u5e74\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\u5e2d\u52d2\uff08Robert J. Shiller\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u968f\u8457 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/archives\/7729\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7729","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7729"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7729\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7729"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7729"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7729"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}