{"id":5561,"date":"2020-09-08T23:49:42","date_gmt":"2020-09-09T03:49:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.yibababa.com\/?p=5561"},"modified":"2020-09-08T23:49:42","modified_gmt":"2020-09-09T03:49:42","slug":"%e4%b8%93%e5%ae%b6%e6%97%a9%e5%b7%b2%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b-%e8%bf%9f%e6%97%a9%e4%bc%9a%e5%87%ba%e7%8e%b0%e4%b8%8e%e8%a5%bf%e7%8f%ad%e7%89%99%e6%b5%81%e6%84%9f%e4%b8%80%e6%a0%b7%e5%85%b7%e4%bc%a0%e6%9f%93","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/archives\/5561","title":{"rendered":"\u4e13\u5bb6\u65e9\u5df2\u9884\u6d4b \u5177\u4f20\u67d3\u6027\u548c\u81f4\u547d\u6027\u7684\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u8fdf\u65e9\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u4e0b\u9762\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/future\/article\/20181120-what-if-a-deadly-influenza-pandemic-broke-out-today\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; color: #0000ff;\">BBC\u7f51\u7ad9<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">\u520a\u767b\u4e8e 2018\u5e7411\u670820\u65e5<\/span>\uff1a<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u767e\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u89c9\u5f97\u6d41\u611f\u5b63\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u4e3a\u5386\u53f2\u3002\u6625\u5b63\u867d\u7136\u662f\u6d41\u611f\u9ad8\u53d1\u5b63\u8282\uff0c\u4f46\u60a3\u8005\u90fd\u80fd\u5feb\u901f\u5eb7\u590d\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6bd4\u5e73\u65f6\u9ad8\u3002\u4e00\u6218\u5360\u636e\u4e86\u5f53\u65f6\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5934\u6761\u65b0\u95fb\uff0c\u6d41\u611f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u5386\u53f2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\u5230\u4e86\u79cb\u5929\uff0c\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u53d8\u4e86\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4ee5\u524d\u5e76\u4e0d\u7f55\u89c1\u7684\u75c5\u6bd2\u518d\u6b21\u4ee5\u5267\u6bd2\u6bd2\u682a\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u5728\u5317\u7f8e\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u8086\u8650\u3002\u60a3\u8005\u5f80\u5f80\u5728\u51e0\u5c0f\u65f6\u6216\u51e0\u5929\u5185\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u56db\u4e2a\u6708\u4e4b\u5185\uff0c\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u6d41\u611f\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8fde\u6700\u504f\u8fdc\u7684\u793e\u533a\u4e5f\u4e0d\u653e\u8fc7\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5e74\u6625\u5929\uff0c\u75ab\u60c5\u5e73\u606f\u65f6\uff0c\u4f30\u8ba1\u5df2\u67095000\u4e07\u81f31\u4ebf\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u5360\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u76845%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e86\uff0c\u8ddf\u5929\u82b1\u3001\u9ed1\u6b7b\u75c5\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u81f4\u547d\u75be\u75c5\u4e00\u6837\uff0c1918\u5e74\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u6d41\u611f\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u9a87\u4eba\u542c\u95fb\u7684\u9065\u8fdc\u6545\u4e8b\u3002\u867d\u7136\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b8c\u5168\u6216\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u6839\u9664\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u81f4\u547d\u7684\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6d41\u611f\u5374\u4e00\u76f4\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u6bcf\u5e74\u593a\u8d7025\u4e07\u523050\u4e07\u4eba\u7684\u751f\u547d\u3002\u6bcf\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6d41\u611f\u90fd\u4f1a\u4ee5\u8f7b\u5fae\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6bd2\u682a\u5f62\u5f0f\u5377\u571f\u91cd\u6765\uff0c\u52a8\u7269\u5bbf\u4e3b\u4f53\u5185\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u6d41\u611f\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f1a\u5f15\u8d77\u5176\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6d41\u884c\u3002\u9664\u4e861918\u5e74\uff0c1957\u5e74\u30011968\u5e74\u30011977\u5e74\u548c2009\u5e74\u90fd\u66fe\u7206\u53d1\u8fc7\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6d41\u611f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u75c5\u6bd2\u5177\u6709\u53d8\u5f02\u503e\u5411\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u80fd\u591f\u4e00\u76f4\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u81ea\u7136\u754c\u4e2d\uff08\u91ce\u751f\u6c34\u9e1f\u662f\u5176\u5929\u7136\u5bbf\u4e3b\uff09\u3002\u4e13\u5bb6\u4eec\u4e00\u81f4\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fdf\u65e9\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u79cd\u4e0e\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u6d41\u611f\u4e00\u6837\u5177\u6709\u4f20\u67d3\u6027\u548c\u81f4\u547d\u6027\u3001\u751a\u81f3\u6740\u4f24\u6027\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u75c5\u6bd2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u660e\u5c3c\u82cf\u8fbe\u5927\u5b66\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u7814\u7a76\u4e0e\u653f\u7b56\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e3b\u4efb\u5965\u65af\u7279\u970d\u5c14\u59c6\uff08Michael Osterholm\uff09\u8bf4:&#8221;\u6d41\u611f\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u5c31\u50cf\u5730\u9707\u3001\u98d3\u98ce\u548c\u6d77\u5578\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u65f6\u4e0d\u65f6\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u89c4\u6a21\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u53ea\u6709\u6ca1\u8111\u5b50\u7684\u4eba\u624d\u4f1a\u8ba4\u4e3a1918\u5e74\u90a3\u6837\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u53d1\u751f\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u4ed6\u63a5\u7740\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u6ca1\u529e\u6cd5\u9884\u6d4b\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4f55\u65f6\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u5c31\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u77e5\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u8bf4\u8bdd\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u5f53\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u6d41\u611f\u7c7b\u75c5\u6bd2\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u65f6\u60c5\u51b5\u4f1a\u5982\u4f55\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u505a\u51fa\u4e00\u4e9b\u6709\u6839\u636e\u7684\u731c\u6d4b\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5723\u88d8\u5fb7\u513f\u7ae5\u7814\u7a76\u533b\u9662\uff08St Jude Children&#8217;s Research Hospital\uff09\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u90e8\u7684\u97e6\u4f2f\u65af\u7279\uff08Robert Webster\uff09\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u5c3d\u65e9\u53d1\u73b0\u5e76\u63a7\u5236\u5176\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u75c5\u6bd2\u6700\u7ec8\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u201d\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u4e86\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u2014\u2014\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08World Health Organization\uff09\u7684\u6d41\u611f\u76d1\u6d4b\u5c0f\u7ec4\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u516d\u4e2a\u91cd\u70b9\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u4e0d\u65ad\u76d1\u6d4b\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u4e13\u653b\u519c\u4e1a\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u8d1f\u8d23\u76d1\u6d4b\u5bb6\u79bd\u548c\u732a\u7684\u6837\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u97e6\u4f2f\u65af\u7279\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u76d1\u6d4b\u53ea\u80fd\u662f\u5c3d\u529b\u800c\u4e3a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6ca1\u529e\u6cd5\u76d1\u6d4b\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u53ea\u9e1f\u548c\u6bcf\u4e00\u5934\u732a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u3002\u5982\u679c\u521a\u597d\u80fd\u68c0\u6d4b\u5230\u75c5\u6bd2\u5bbf\u4e3b\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u592a\u5e78\u8fd0\u4e86\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u7ee7\u7eed\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u75c5\u6bd2\u80af\u5b9a\u4f1a\u4f20\u64ad\u51fa\u53bb\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e00\u65e6\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u6309\u7167\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\uff0c\u75c5\u6bd2\u53ef\u80fd\u51e0\u5468\u5185\u5c31\u80fd\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u6d41\u884c\u3002\u201d\u4e54\u6cbb\u4e9a\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u548c\u751f\u7269\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u4e54\u7ef4\u5c14\uff08Gerardo Chowell\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u6d41\u611f\u8fd9\u79cd\u79cd\u75c5\u6bd2\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u8fdb\u5165\u6613\u611f\u4eba\u7fa4\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u8fc5\u901f\u4f20\u64ad\u5f00\u6765\u3002\u5728\u51fa\u73b0\u4efb\u4f55\u75c7\u72b6\u524d\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u75c5\u6bd2\u5c31\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u4f20\u64ad\u4e86\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u91cf\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e0a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u589e\u957f\u4e86\u56db\u500d\u591a\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0e1918\u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u611f\u67d3\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u66f4\u591a\u30021918\u5e74\u7684\u6d41\u611f\u593a\u53bb\u4e865000\u4e07\u4eba\u7684\u751f\u547d\uff0c\u653e\u5230\u4eca\u5929\u9884\u8ba1\u4f1a\u67092\u4ebf\u591a\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u201c\u88c5\u5c38\u888b\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u4f1a\u4f9b\u4e0d\u5e94\u6c42\u4e86\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5386\u53f2\u5df2\u7ecf\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u6d41\u611f\u9020\u6210\u5404\u65cf\u7fa4\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u5e76\u4e0d\u5e73\u5747\u3002\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u6d41\u611f\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u6700\u591a\u76f8\u5dee30\u500d\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\uff0c\u8be5\u75c5\u6bd2\u593a\u53bb\u4e868%\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e39\u9ea6\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u4e0d\u5230\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u76841%\u3002\u540c\u6837\u7684\uff0c2009\u5e74H1N1\u6d41\u611f\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u662f\u6cd5\u56fd\u768410\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5dee\u5f02\u53d7\u5230\u8bb8\u591a\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u65cf\u7fa4\u4e4b\u524d\u662f\u5426\u63a5\u89e6\u8fc7\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u6d41\u611f\u6bd2\u682a\u4ee5\u53ca\u9057\u4f20\u6027\u7f3a\u9677\u5f31\u70b9\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c1918\u5e74\uff0c\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u672c\u571f\u6bdb\u5229\u4eba\u5728\u611f\u67d3\u6d41\u611f\u540e\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u76847\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e\u8d2b\u56f0\u6709\u5173\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5982\u536b\u751f\u6761\u4ef6\u3001\u521d\u59cb\u5065\u5eb7\u72b6\u51b5\u548c\u533b\u4fdd\u7684\u8986\u76d6\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u6d41\u611f\u75c5\u6bd2\u6700\u7ec8\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4e54\u7ef4\u5c14\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c2009\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u75c5\u5f97\u975e\u5e38\u4e25\u91cd\u624d\u53bb\u533b\u9662\uff0c\u4f46\u4e3a\u65f6\u5df2\u665a\u3002\u201d\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60a3\u8005\u4e2d\u7684\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e48\u505a\u8fd8\u662f\u51fa\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0a\u7684\u8003\u91cf\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u53bb\u770b\u533b\u751f\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8981\u8bf7\u4e00\u5929\u5047\uff0c\u5c11\u6323\u4e00\u5929\u94b1\u3002\u201c\u6211\u4e0d\u662f\u8bf4\u6bcf\u4e2a\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u4eba\u90fd\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u786e\u5b9e\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u5f31\u52bf\u7fa4\u4f53\u4e2d\uff0c\u201d\u4e54\u7ef4\u5c14\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u6d41\u884c\u6027\u75be\u75c5\u5e2d\u5377\u7684\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u6216\u5176\u5b83\u6ca1\u6709\u5168\u6c11\u533b\u4fdd\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u53ef\u4ee5\u80af\u5b9a\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e5f\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u4fdd\u9669\u7684\u7fa4\u4f53\u4e2d\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u907f\u514d\u9ad8\u6602\u7684\u533b\u7597\u8d39\u7528\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u533b\u4fdd\u7684\u4eba\u4f1a\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u5730\u62d6\u5ef6\u5c31\u533b\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u90a3\u65f6\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u592a\u665a\u4e86\u3002\u4e54\u7ef4\u5c14\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u548c\u533b\u7597\u53ef\u53ca\u6027\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4f53\u5236\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4e39\u9ea6\u7f57\u65af\u57fa\u52d2\u5927\u5b66\u548c\u4e54\u6cbb\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u5bb6\u897f\u8499\u68ee\uff08Lone Simonsen\uff09\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u75ab\u82d7\u662f\u963b\u6b62\u6d41\u611f\u6cdb\u6ee5\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u624b\u6bb5\u3002\u4f46\u9996\u5148\u8981\u8bc6\u522b\u75c5\u6bd2\u3001\u5236\u9020\u75ab\u82d7\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u8fd0\u9001\u5230\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5730\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u8bf4\u8d77\u6765\u5bb9\u6613\u505a\u8d77\u6765\u96be\u3002\u201d20\u4e16\u7eaa40\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u6d41\u611f\u75ab\u82d7\u624d\u8bde\u751f\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u4ee5\u5f53\u65f6\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u7814\u53d1\u75ab\u82d7\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u7136\u9700\u8981\u6570\u6708\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5965\u65af\u7279\u970d\u5c14\u59c6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5373\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u6210\u529f\u5730\u7814\u5236\u51fa\u4e86\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u79cd\u75ab\u82d7\uff0c\u80fd\u751f\u4ea7\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u5242\u91cf\u4e5f\u4e0d\u591f\u4e3a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u63a5\u79cd\u3002\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u8303\u56f4\u5185\uff0c\u5728\u75ab\u82d7\u8bde\u751f\u7684\u59346\u4e2a\u6708\u52309\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u53ea\u67091-2%\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u80fd\u591f\u63a5\u79cd\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u9650\u5236\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6d41\u611f\u75ab\u82d7\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u6982\u7387\u6700\u591a\u53ea\u670960%\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u73b0\u5728\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u7279\u654f\u798f\uff08Tamiflu\uff09\u7b49\u6297\u6d41\u611f\u836f\u7269\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u50a8\u5907\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6d41\u611f\u3002\u4e54\u7ef4\u5c14\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u201c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u6297\u75c5\u6bd2\u836f\u7269\u3002\u66f4\u522b\u8bf4\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u4e86\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u6cbb\u7597\u5176\u4ed6\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u836f\u7269\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u6297\u6d41\u611f\u836f\u7269\u5e76\u6ca1\u90a3\u4e48\u6709\u6548\u3002\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u201c\u4eba\u4eec\u90fd\u89c9\u5f97\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6d41\u611f\u8fd9\u79cd\u75c5\u6ca1\u4ec0\u4e48\u5927\u4e0d\u4e86\u7684\u201d\uff0c\u97e6\u4f2f\u65af\u7279\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u53ea\u6709\u5f53\u6d41\u611f\uff08\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\uff09\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u50cf\u827e\u6ecb\u75c5\u6bd2\u90a3\u6837\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5730\u6b65\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u624d\u4f1a\u7ed9\u4e88\u66f4\u591a\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5965\u65af\u7279\u970d\u5c14\u59c6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u73b0\u5b9e\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6d41\u611f\u4e00\u65e6\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u533b\u9662\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u4f1a\u4eba\u6ee1\u4e3a\u60a3\uff0c\u836f\u7269\u548c\u75ab\u82d7\u9a6c\u4e0a\u5c31\u4f1a\u7528\u5b8c\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\uff0c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u6d41\u611f\u5df2\u7ecf\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u5065\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e0d\u582a\u91cd\u8d1f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u8fd8\u4e0d\u662f\u7279\u522b\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u5bf9\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u611f\u67d3\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u662f\u591a\u4e48\u6709\u9650\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u548c1918\u5e74\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u611f\u67d3\u7387\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6700\u5148\u5d29\u6e83\u2014\u2014\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u5b66\u6821\u5c06\u5173\u95ed\uff1b\u516c\u5171\u4ea4\u901a\u65e0\u6cd5\u8fd0\u884c\uff1b\u8fd8\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u65ad\u7535\uff1b\u5c38\u4f53\u5f00\u59cb\u5806\u79ef\u5728\u5927\u8857\u4e0a\uff1b\u98df\u54c1\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u4f1a\u77ed\u7f3a\uff1b\u6570\u767e\u4e07\u7cd6\u5c3f\u75c5\u3001\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u3001\u514d\u75ab\u6291\u5236\u75be\u75c5\u7b49\u751f\u547d\u5782\u5371\u7684\u60a3\u8005\u8d56\u4ee5\u751f\u5b58\u7684\u6551\u547d\u836f\u7269\u4e5f\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u77ed\u7f3a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5965\u65af\u7279\u970d\u5c14\u59c6\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6d41\u611f\u4e00\u65e6\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd9\u4e9b\u836f\u7269\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u8fd0\u8f93\u4e2d\u65ad\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5219\u4f1a\u56e0\u836f\u7269\u4f9b\u7ed9\u4e0d\u8db3\u6b7b\u4e8e\u75be\u75c5\u30021918\u5e74\u90a3\u6837\u8086\u8650\u7684\u6d41\u611f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u95f4\u63a5\u7834\u574f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5373\u4f7f\u75c5\u6bd2\u81ea\u884c\u6d88\u5931\uff0c\u5176\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u77ed\u671f\u4e4b\u5185\u65e0\u6cd5\u5e73\u606f\u7684\u3002\u897f\u8499\u68ee\u8bf4\uff0c1918\u5e74\u7684\u6d41\u611f\u75c5\u6bd2\u201c\u7279\u522b\u53ef\u6015\u201d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u4e0d\u50cf\u666e\u901a\u6d41\u611f\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u53ea\u5e26\u8d70\u975e\u5e38\u5e74\u5e7c\u6216\u975e\u5e38\u5e74\u8fc8\u7684\u751f\u547d\u3002\u90a3\u573a\u6d41\u611f\u5e26\u8d70\u7684\u751f\u547d\u91cc\uff0c\u670995%\u90fd\u662f\u8eab\u4f53\u5eb7\u5065\uff0c\u6b63\u503c\u5de5\u4f5c\u751f\u6daf\u9ec4\u91d1\u671f\u7684\u4eba\u3002\u8fd9\u524a\u51cf\u4e86\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u5bb6\u5ead\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u6df1\u8fdc\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f7f\u65e0\u6570\u513f\u7ae5\u6210\u4e3a\u5b64\u513f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76f4\u52302005\u5e74\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u624d\u77e5\u9053\uff08\u6b7b\u8005\u90fd\u662f\u9752\u58ee\u5e74\u7684\uff09\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u5229\u7528\u5728\u5e03\u745e\u7ef4\u683c\u7c73\u7533\uff08Brevig 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style=\"color: #ff0000;\">2017\u5e74<\/span>Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security\u7684\u4e00\u961f<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">\u4e13\u5bb6\u4e5f\u540c\u6837\u9884\u6d4b\u4e00\u79cd\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u5927\u7206\u53d1<\/span>\uff0c\u6587\u7ae0\u8be6\u60c5<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2020\/09\/08\/health\/coronavirus-pandemic-training-scenario\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; color: #0000ff;\">\u70b9\u51fb\u8fd9\u91cc<\/span><\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e0b\u9762\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0BBC\u7f51\u7ad9\u520a\u767b\u4e8e 2018\u5e7411\u670820\u65e5\uff1a \u4e00\u767e\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u89c9\u5f97\u6d41\u611f\u5b63 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/archives\/5561\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5561","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5561"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5561\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5561"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5561"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}