{"id":4592,"date":"2020-04-14T18:59:22","date_gmt":"2020-04-14T22:59:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.yibababa.com\/?p=4592"},"modified":"2020-04-14T18:59:22","modified_gmt":"2020-04-14T22:59:22","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c%e8%b5%a4%e5%ad%97%e5%92%8c%e5%80%ba%e5%8a%a1%e8%a7%84%e6%a8%a1-%e5%b0%86%e5%88%9b%e4%ba%8c%e6%88%98%e4%bb%a5%e6%9d%a5%e4%b9%8b%e6%9c%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/archives\/4592","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u8d64\u5b57\u548c\u503a\u52a1\u89c4\u6a21 \u5c06\u521b\u4e8c\u6218\u4ee5\u6765\u4e4b\u6700"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-4593\" src=\"https:\/\/www.yibababa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/us-debt-will-equal-size-of-economy-2020.png\" alt=\"us-debt-will-equal-size-of-economy-2020\" width=\"629\" height=\"452\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u5168\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u8981\u6570\u5e74\u624d\u80fd\u5b8c\u5168\u663e\u73b0\u3002\u4f46\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed3\u679c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f88\u660e\u663e\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5bb6\u5ead\u5c06\u80cc\u8d1f\u5927\u91cf\u989d\u5916\u503a\u52a1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8de8\u515a\u6d3e\u7684\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56\u673a\u6784\u201c\u8d1f\u8d23\u4efb\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u9884\u7b97\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget\uff09\u201d13\u65e5\u53d1\u8868\u62a5\u544a\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u548c\u503a\u52a1\u6c34\u5e73\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230\u4e8c\u6218\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u73b0\u884c\u6cd5\u5f8b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u7b97\u8d64\u5b57\u603b\u989d\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc73.8\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff08\u5360GDP\u768418.7\uff05\uff0c\u662f\u4e0a\u4e00\u8d22\u5e74\u76844\u500d\uff09\uff0c\u52302021\u5e74\u5c06\u4e3a2.1\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff08\u5360GDP\u76849.7\uff05\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u62a5\u544a\u8fd8\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u516c\u5171\u503a\u52a1\uff08\u7531\u516c\u4f17\u6301\u6709\u7684\u503a\u52a1\uff09\u57282020\u8d22\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u6216\u8d85\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fdGDP\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u52302023\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6218\u7ed3\u675f\u65f6\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff08GDP\u7684106%\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8003\u8651\u5230\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7ecf\u6d4e\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u7684\u8d64\u5b57\u548c\u503a\u52a1\u6c34\u5e73\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u9884\u6d4b\u8fd8\u8981\u9ad8\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8d22\u653f\u90e8\u901a\u8fc7\u53d1\u884c\u56fd\u503a\u6765\u586b\u8865\u653f\u5e9c\u8d64\u5b57\u3002\u5728\u6b63\u5e38\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e0d\u662f\u56fd\u503a\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u57282007-09\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u81ea\u5df1\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u8d2d\u4e70\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u201c\u91cf\u5316\u5bbd\u677e\u201d\u8ba1\u5212\u65e8\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u51cf\u5c11\u516c\u4f17\u624b\u4e2d\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6570\u91cf\u6765\u538b\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5927\u578b\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u516c\u53f8\u6865\u6c34(Bridgewater Associates Lp)\u521b\u59cb\u4ebaRay Dalio\u79f0\uff1a\u201c\u7b49\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5f62\u52bf\u5c18\u57c3\u843d\u5b9a\u540e\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u8ba8\u8bba\u8c01\u5e94\u5f53\u4e3a\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u652f\u51fa\u4e70\u5355\uff0c\u8c01\u6765\u6d88\u5316\u503a\u52a1\u8d1f\u62c5\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u4e89\u8bba\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u6765\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"http:\/\/www.crfb.org\/blogs\/new-projections-debt-will-exceed-size-economy-year\" target=\"_blank\">crfb.rog<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u5168\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u8981\u6570\u5e74\u624d\u80fd\u5b8c\u5168\u663e\u73b0\u3002\u4f46\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed3\u679c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f88\u660e\u663e\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/archives\/4592\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4592","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4592","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4592"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4592\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4592"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4592"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4592"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}