{"id":3435,"date":"2018-08-02T13:06:39","date_gmt":"2018-08-02T17:06:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/?p=3435"},"modified":"2018-08-02T13:06:39","modified_gmt":"2018-08-02T17:06:39","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e5%b0%86%e4%b8%8b%e8%b7%8c50%e4%bb%a5%e4%b8%8a%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/archives\/3435","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u80a1\u5c06\u4e0b\u8dcc50%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3436\" src=\"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/1.jpg\" alt=\"1\" width=\"569\" height=\"398\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u80a1\u53d7\u5230\u4f01\u4e1a\u8d22\u62a5\u4e0d\u4f73\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u79d1\u6280\u80a17\u670830\u65e5\u91cd\u632b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80e1\u601d\u66fc\u6295\u4fe1\u516c\u53f8\u603b\u88c1\u3001\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u5927\u7a7a\u5934\u80e1\u601d\u66fc\uff08John Hussman\uff09\u60b2\u89c2\u8b66\u544a\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/this-prophet-of-doom-predicts-stock-market-will-plunge-more-than-50-2018-07-30\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline; color: #0000ff;\">\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b\u6307\u6570\u6050\u5c06\u91cd\u632b57%\uff0c\u9053\u743c\u65af\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6570\u5219\u5c06\u5d29\u8dcc\u8fd169%<\/span><\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n<p>John Hussman\u5728\u63a8\u7279\u4e2a\u4eba\u6863\u6849\u81ea\u79f0\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u6148\u5584\u5bb6\uff0c\u5e76\u8bf4\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u300c\u52a1\u5b9e\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u7ecf\u5e38\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u672b\u65e5\u5148\u77e5\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>John Hussman\u56e0\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b2000\u5e74\u548c2007-2008\u5e74\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u8dcc\u800c\u58f0\u540d\u9e4a\u8d77\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u725b\u5e02\u6301\u7eed\u8fc8\u5165\u7b2c9\u5e74\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u4ed6\u5374\u4e00\u518d\u9884\u8b66\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u300c\u8d85\u4e70\u3001\u8d85\u8d35\u3001\u8d85\u4e50\u89c2\u300d\uff0c\u5927\u58f0\u75be\u547c\u7f8e\u80a1\u4f1a\u5927\u8dcc\uff0c\u800c\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u6b7b\u7a7a\u5934\uff08Permabear\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>John Hussman\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ece\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u9519\u8bef\u4e2d\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u5e76\u6539\u5584\u9519\u8bef\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u300c\u5e02\u573a\u89c2\u5bdf\u300d\uff08Market Watch\uff09\u7f51\u7ad9\u62a5\u5bfc\uff0cJohn Hussman\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u4e3b\u5f20\uff0c\u300c\u4ece2018\u5e74\u521d\u7684\u9ad8\u70b9\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u5468\u671f\u4f30\u8ba1\u5df2\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u80a1\u5e02\u91cd\u632b\uff0c\u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c14500\u6307\u6570\u5c06\uff08S&amp;P 500 Index\uff09\u5927\u8dcc64%\u3001\u90a3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b100\u6307\u6570\u5c06\u8dcc57%\u3001\u7f57\u7d202000\u6307\u6570\u5c06\u8dcc68%\u3001\u9053\u743c\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6570\u5c06\u4f1a\u91cd\u632b\u8fd169%\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u627f\u8ba4\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u5b57\u770b\u6765\u6781\u7aef\uff0c\u4f46\u8868\u793a\u300c\u4ef7\u503c\u94c1\u5f8b\u300d\u53ef\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u4ed6\u7684\u8fd9\u756a\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>John Hussman\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u300c\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u4e3a\u4e00\u5957\u9884\u671f\u672a\u6765\u73b0\u91d1\u6d41\u91cf\u6240\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6108\u9ad8\uff0c\u6240\u80fd\u6307\u671b\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u957f\u671f\u6295\u8d44\u56de\u62a5\u5c31\u6108\u4f4e\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u8fc7\u53bb\u6295\u8d44\u56de\u62a5\u770b\u4f3c\u6700\u4eae\u773c\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u6295\u8d44\u56de\u62a5\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u60e8\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u53cd\u4e4b\u4ea6\u7136\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u636eJohn Hussman\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u4f01\u4e1a2009\u5e74\u81f32018\u5e74\u80a1\u4ef7\u8425\u6536\u6bd4\u4ece\u4e0d\u52300.7\u5347\u81f3\u5386\u6765\u6700\u9ad8\u76842.4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0cJohn Hussman\u4e5f\u53d1\u73b0\u5176\u4ed6\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u6307\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a\u300c\u73b0\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u5185\u90e8\u8bc4\u4f30\u4ecd\u5c5e\u4e0d\u5229\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5229\u7387\u654f\u611f\u7c7b\u80a1\u6076\u5316\u3001\u53c2\u4e0e\u80a1\u5e02\u6da8\u52bf\u7684\u4e2a\u80a1\u4e0d\u591a\u3001\u9886\u6da8\u9886\u8dcc\u80a1\u5206\u6b67\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u80a1\u7968\u540c\u65f6\u8fbe\u5230\u4e00\u5e74\u6700\u9ad8\u548c\u6700\u4f4e\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u7c7b\u80a1\u4e5f\u53ef\u89c1\u5206\u6b67\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d8b\u52bf\u6697\u793a\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u53d8\u5f97\u8f83\u4e0d\u613f\u610f\u627f\u62c5\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u80a1\u5e02\u800c\u8a00\u662f\u4e2a\u574f\u5f81\u5146\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5f53\u5e02\u573a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u613f\u610f\u5192\u9669\u4e0b\u6ce8\u65f6\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u624d\u4f1a\u84ec\u52c3\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\uff08<strong>\u626b\u63cf\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">\u5206\u4eab<\/span><\/strong>\u6587\u7ae0\u5230<strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">\u5fae\u4fe1<\/span><\/strong>\u6216<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">QQ<strong>\u670b\u53cb\u5708<\/strong><\/span>\uff09<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/chart.googleapis.com\/chart?cht=qr&amp;chs=150x150&amp;choe=UTF-8&amp;chld=L|4&amp;chl=https:\/\/yibababa.com\/archives\/3435\" alt=\"QR \u7801\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u80a1\u53d7\u5230\u4f01\u4e1a\u8d22\u62a5\u4e0d\u4f73\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u79d1\u6280\u80a17\u670830\u65e5\u91cd\u632b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80e1\u601d\u66fc\u6295\u4fe1\u516c\u53f8\u603b\u88c1\u3001\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u5927 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/archives\/3435\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3435","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3435"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3435\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3435"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3435"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yibababa.com\/article\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3435"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}